March 24, 2026 7 min read
Expectations – 2026 NCAA Tournament Viewed Through the Lens of What Could Have Been
Expectations are funny things. There is no universal standard for them. We can both look at the same set of facts and data about the world but develop wildly different…
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March 10, 2026 2 min read
Can Penn State Score 200 Points?
Yes That is the short answer. Pretty unsatisfactory though. I will require more detail. Let’s start by making some assumptions about seeds and bonus. That comes to 192 points if wrestled…
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February 25, 2026 3 min read
Youth Will Be Served (or I can’t stop thinking about the 133 bracket this year where there are four freshmen ranked in the top six)
With all the talk of freshman studs possibly winning this year I thought I would take a look at the history of freshman at the NCAA tournament. But before we…
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February 20, 2026 5 min read
Hello, Chaos My Old Friend
As mentioned previously there is a lot of focus this year on the 133 bracket. And for good reason. There are a lot of experienced inexperienced wrestlers in that bracket…
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February 5, 2026 5 min read
NCAA Tournament Over / Under Performers
1979 – 2025 (12+ Seeds and 8 AA’s Era) Two team performances in the past two tournaments got me thinking about which teams most outperformed and underperformed their expectations in…
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February 1, 2026 6 min read
Expected Points – Friend or Foe?
The first thing I did when playing around with historical wrestling data back in 2020 was figure out what the average outcome was by seed. A #1 seed doesn’t always…
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January 27, 2026 7 min read
There Will Be Consequences
Let’s acknowledge the obvious first. Every match matters. Teams that win titles win a lot of matches and each win is a part of the tapestry of a title. It…
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January 18, 2026 7 min read
The Greatest Bracket of Them All
Who Shall Wear the Crown? There has been a lot of chatter about the 133 bracket this year and whether it may be the greatest bracket of all time. With…
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January 4, 2026 4 min read
Penn State Heresy: Or Can Ohio State Win It All?
Jacob from Ohio State writes, “Since there has been so much scrutiny over Ohio State being number one for a week or two, can you give a post on how…
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December 30, 2025 3 min read
Age Is Just A Number
I have been asked in the past what happens to older wrestlers. I have never been able to answer that question satisfactorily. Until now. Depending on your partisanship you are…
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